This first module (5-6 October 2018) examines the contested notion of risk and its relationship with crises and their management.
Participants will be introduced to the concepts of risk and uncertainty and show how to manage these with the help of critical thinking techniques. Emphasis here will be given to the disciplines of strategic foresight and early warning as tools to support anticipatory thinking and decision-making.
Next, participants will be introduced to the principles of risk management. They will be shown how to identify, analyse, manage and monitor risks to their organisation or a country of their choice.
Finally, participants will be introduced to the problem of bias, and cognitive biases in particular. They will be shown how such biases influence perception, analysis and understanding, including an organisation’s approach to risk management and strategic foresight and warning, and results or products of these activities. The seminar will also address the role of emotions in influencing analysis on the one hand, and the reception of strategic anticipation’s products on the other. It will finally outline strategies to manage these biases.
To learn more about registering, please contact firstname.lastname@example.org.